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2012-02-22

Model Predictions

Model VCU Rams UNC Wilmington Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 95.1% 4.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 85.6% 14.4% - โœ“
Margin 86.7% 13.3% -10.3 โœ“ (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 71.3% 28.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.5% 7.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.6% 7.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 71.3% 28.7% - โœ“

Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks -4 (59-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradford Burgess * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 3 5 12 -
Darius Theus * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 3 0 1 9 12 -
Troy Daniels * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 5 8 -
Juvonte Reddic * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 1 2 14 24 -
D.J. Haley * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
Rob Brandenberg 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 2 21 29 -
Briante Weber 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 4 0 1 2 10 -
Treveon Graham 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 6 -
Teddy Okereafor 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jarred Guest 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
David Hinton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keith Rendleman * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 3 0 3 24 34 -
Tanner Milson * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 5 11 11 -
Cedrick Williams * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 3 0 7 23 -
Trevor Deloach * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 1 3 -
Cam Chambers * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Adam Smith 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 2 7 -
Donte Morales 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 5 9 -
Freddie Jackson 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 5 -
K.K. Simmons 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 4 8 -
Player #57123 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 3 4 -

* = starter