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2012-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Wyoming Cowboys San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 6.0% 94.0% -
Bradley-Terry 34.2% 65.8% -
Margin 12.7% 87.3% +10.6 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% -
Efficiency 7.9% 92.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.8% 82.2% -
Log Adjusted 17.6% 82.4% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +9 (67-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Waddell * 42 4-9 0-0 2-4 6 1 0 1 3 10 6 -
J. Luster * 38 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 6 4 -
P. Cruz * 37 4-9 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 8 2 -
L. Martinez * 35 1-5 1-5 2-3 2 2 1 0 1 5 4 -
L. Washington * 15 2-4 2-2 3-4 5 0 0 0 2 9 8 -
L. Nance Jr. 31 3-6 1-2 2-2 4 1 0 1 1 9 8 -
A. Bouedo 19 4-5 3-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 11 7 -
D. Gilmore 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Watsabaugh 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Shelton * 37 4-7 0-0 2-2 7 1 2 1 0 10 14 -
C. Tapley * 37 3-12 2-3 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 10 2 -
X. Thames * 36 3-8 0-1 3-3 1 6 2 1 1 9 10 -
J. Rahon * 28 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
L. Franklin * 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 2 3 -
J. Franklin 34 3-10 1-5 5-7 5 0 1 0 3 12 5 -
G. Green 20 6-6 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 14 10 -
D. Stephens 18 4-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 8 7 -

* = starter