Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.6% | 24.4% | -12.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -11 (88-99). Ratings: 2012 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 35 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 30 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 30 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 22 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 24 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| April Sykes | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree * | 37 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Samantha Prahalis * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 26 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Nakia Sanford * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Charde Houston | 21 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Avery Warley-Talbert | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Alexis Gray-Lawson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter