Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.3% | 10.7% | -11.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -11 (88-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Ogwumike | 35 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| A. Beard | 33 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Toliver | 31 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| C. Parker | 30 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 22 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 24 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| M. Coleman | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J. Lavender | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Sykes | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 37 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| D. Bonner | 34 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 31 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 26 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| C. Houston | 22 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| N. Sanford | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter