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Indiana Fever 83
@
Chicago Sky 72
2012-05-25

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 75.6% 24.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 69.2% 30.8% - ✓
Margin 63.2% 36.8% -3.0 ✓ (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.8% 44.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 73.6% 26.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 73.7% 26.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 56.9% 43.1% - ✓

Actual: Chicago Sky -11 (72-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Catchings 30 7-14 2-6 6-8 3 5 4 2 2 22 20 -
K. Douglas 30 8-11 1-2 4-4 1 2 1 1 2 21 13 -
S. Zellous 23 2-7 0-2 5-6 7 1 1 0 1 9 10 -
J. Davenport 23 6-9 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 12 8 -
E. Phillips 20 1-4 1-1 2-2 2 4 2 0 3 5 6 -
T. Sutton-Brown 20 1-2 0-0 0-1 2 1 1 2 2 2 4 -
Briann January 20 1-6 0-2 2-2 0 0 2 0 2 4 -2 -
J. Pohlen-Mavunga 15 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 3 5 -
E. Larkins 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 2 4 -
R. Hodges 8 1-3 0-1 1-3 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Epiphanny Prince 33 7-16 1-6 2-2 4 2 3 0 2 17 8 -
Sylvia Fowles 32 7-11 0-0 7-12 10 1 1 1 4 21 19 -
S. Cash 29 3-9 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 6 1 -
L. Willingham 26 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 0 -3 -
Courtney Vandersloot 25 4-9 1-4 0-0 3 4 2 1 4 9 6 -
R. Riley 21 1-5 0-1 0-0 6 1 2 2 2 2 6 -
S. Murphy 19 3-8 1-4 3-4 1 2 2 0 1 10 6 -
T. Young 17 3-6 0-0 1-1 6 0 0 0 2 7 5 -

* = starter