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2012-05-25

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 51.4% 48.6% - โœ—
Margin 39.7% 60.3% +2.3 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 53.5% 46.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 53.5% 46.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.2% 54.8% - โœ“

Actual: Connecticut Sun +4 (83-79). Ratings: 2013 season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Becky Hammon * 32 3-8 1-3 4-4 3 8 3 0 4 11 13 -
Sophia Young-Malcolm * 32 3-11 0-0 3-3 9 3 3 0 4 9 9 -
Danielle Robinson * 28 5-9 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 10 4 -
Danielle Adams * 24 7-14 4-8 3-6 3 0 0 1 2 21 9 -
Jia Perkins * 17 1-5 0-3 1-2 3 3 0 0 3 3 1 -
Shameka Christon 19 3-9 3-9 5-6 4 0 1 0 0 14 10 -
Shenise Johnson 19 2-6 1-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 7 6 -
Jayne Appel Marinelli 15 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Tangela Smith 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Tully Bevilaqua 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Ziomara Morrison 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tina Charles * 33 8-16 0-1 2-3 8 1 0 3 2 18 12 -
Allison Hightower * 31 1-7 0-1 2-2 3 5 0 0 0 4 5 -
Kara Lawson * 31 2-6 1-4 8-8 4 3 1 0 1 13 14 -
Asjha Jones * 26 7-12 0-1 2-2 6 5 2 0 3 16 14 -
Danielle McCray * 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
Renee Montgomery 27 8-16 2-5 5-6 3 3 1 0 5 23 9 -
Kalana Greene 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 2 5 -
Mistie Bass 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Kelsey Griffin 4 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter