Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +2.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +4 (83-79). Ratings: 2012 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Becky Hammon * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Danielle Adams * | 24 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Jia Perkins * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Shameka Christon | 19 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 19 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tangela Smith | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ziomara Morrison | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 33 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 31 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 26 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Danielle McCray * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 27 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Kalana Greene | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter