Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | +6.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +8 (92-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver | 38 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 8-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Candace Parker | 34 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 22 | - |
| A. Beard | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Coleman | 23 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Sykes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Brunson | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 31 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| S. Augustus | 31 | 11-17 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 13 | - |
| L. Whalen | 28 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| M. Moore | 28 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 10 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Wright | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Peters | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Adair | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter