Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✗ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -2 (87-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree * | 37 | 14-21 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 23 | - |
| Samantha Prahalis * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 30 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Nakia Sanford * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Charde Houston | 24 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Avery Warley-Talbert | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Alexis Gray-Lawson | 11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Zane Tamane | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scholanda Dorrell * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 27 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen * | 24 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Chante Black * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Riquna Williams * | 13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 23 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Glory Johnson | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 18 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jene Morris | 14 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter