Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Tulsa Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Tulsa Shock -2 (87-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 37 | 14-21 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 23 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 33 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| D. Bonner | 31 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| C. Houston | 25 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| N. Sanford | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Z. Tamane | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Dorrell | 32 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Johnson | 27 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 24 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| I. Latta | 24 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| G. Johnson | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Lacy | 18 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C. Black | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| J. Morris | 14 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| R. Williams | 13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter