Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.9% | 23.1% | -6.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -9 (64-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Doron Lamb * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Terrence Jones * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Marquis Teague * | 23 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Darius Miller | 31 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Wiltjer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Eloy Vargas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaun Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie * | 39 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Dee Bost * | 38 | 5-15 | 3-6 | 8-8 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Brian Bryant * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Renardo Sidney * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Rodney Hood * | 12 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Steele | 33 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Wendell Lewis | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Deville Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter