Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.8% | 42.2% | -3.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.6% | 43.4% | -1.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -12 (55-67). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Burke * | 45 | 6-16 | 4-12 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Stu Douglass * | 43 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 38 | 4-12 | 2-9 | 4-10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Zack Novak * | 31 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Morgan * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Matt Vogrich | 18 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Evan Smotrycz | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Blake McLimans | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Colton Christian | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Shurna * | 40 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Hearn * | 40 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Dave Sobolewski * | 38 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| JerShon Cobb * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Davide Curletti | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 22 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Nick Fruendt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter