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Michigan Wolverines 67
@
Northwestern Wildcats 55
2012-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 83.6% 16.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 58.3% 41.7% - ✓
Margin 68.4% 31.6% -4.3 ✓ (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 68.8% 31.2% - ✓
Efficiency 92.5% 7.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 81.2% 18.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 81.3% 18.7% - ✓

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -12 (55-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Burke * 45 6-16 4-12 3-4 6 4 2 0 2 19 13 -
S. Douglass * 43 4-9 4-7 0-0 1 5 1 0 1 12 9 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 38 4-12 2-9 4-10 5 1 0 3 1 14 10 -
Z. Novak * 31 1-5 1-4 4-4 5 3 0 0 2 7 8 -
J. Morgan * 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 0 4 7 -
M. Vogrich 18 3-7 3-6 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 9 6 -
E. Smotrycz 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
B. McLimans 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
C. Christian 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shurna * 40 6-16 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 14 3 -
R. Hearn * 40 4-4 1-1 2-2 11 2 0 0 4 11 16 -
D. Sobolewski * 38 3-8 0-1 0-1 5 2 0 0 2 6 3 -
J. Cobb * 28 1-8 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 -3 -
D. Crawford * 27 2-5 0-2 2-3 1 2 0 0 2 6 2 -
D. Curletti 29 4-5 0-0 4-6 6 0 2 2 3 12 14 -
A. Marcotullio 22 1-5 0-4 0-0 5 3 1 1 1 2 6 -
N. Fruendt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter