Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.1% | 96.9% | +18.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators +16 (63-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Payne * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Frankie Sullivan * | 31 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Rob Chubb * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kenny Gabriel * | 20 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Josh Wallace * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Adrian Forbes | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Varez Ward | 23 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Chris Denson | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Noel Johnson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Willy Kouassi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Erving Walker * | 36 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Kenny Boynton * | 33 | 7-11 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Patric Young * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Erik Murphy * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Will Yeguete | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Scottie Wilbekin | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Casey Prather | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mike Rosario | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cody Larson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jacob Kurtz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter