Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | +2.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +8 (71-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Williams * | 36 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 9-10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Drew Gordon * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman * | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Demetrius Walker | 25 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 21 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Phillip McDonald | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Chad Adams | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Green * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 33 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Kaipo Sabas * | 32 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Pierce Hornung * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Dwight Smith * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Jesse Carr | 33 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Greg Smith | 17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Chad Calcaterra | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter