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2012-05-20

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“
Margin 30.6% 69.4% +4.5 โœ“ (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 38.9% 61.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.4% 59.6% - โœ“

Actual: Connecticut Sun +15 (92-77). Ratings: 2013 season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cappie Pondexter * 31 5-13 0-3 8-11 3 4 1 0 2 18 11 -
Leilani Mitchell * 26 3-10 2-6 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 8 6 -
Kara Braxton * 23 5-10 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 1 2 11 7 -
Plenette Pierson * 21 7-9 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 16 12 -
Nicole Powell * 21 2-8 1-5 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 6 0 -
Essence Carson 17 2-4 0-1 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
Kia Vaughn 15 3-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 6 1 -
DeMya Walker 14 1-2 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 0 4 5 3 -
Kelly Miller 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
Alex Montgomery 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 0 2 -
Kelley Cain 5 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tina Charles * 30 11-15 0-0 3-4 11 1 1 0 3 25 20 -
Kara Lawson * 30 2-6 2-4 3-3 2 4 0 0 1 9 8 -
Asjha Jones * 28 8-16 1-1 3-4 8 1 0 0 2 20 11 -
Danielle McCray * 25 2-8 1-2 4-4 3 2 1 0 1 9 6 -
Kalana Greene * 15 2-3 0-0 3-3 2 0 2 0 0 7 8 -
Allison Hightower 24 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 0 1 -
Renee Montgomery 22 4-12 0-4 7-7 1 6 0 0 1 15 9 -
Mistie Bass 15 2-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
Kelsey Griffin 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
Chay Shegog 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter