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2012-05-20

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% -
Bradley-Terry 19.8% 80.2% -
Margin 11.8% 88.2% +11.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 26.0% 74.0% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun +15 (92-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter 31 5-13 0-3 8-11 3 4 1 0 2 18 11 -
L. Mitchell 27 3-10 2-6 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 8 6 -
K. Braxton 24 5-10 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 1 2 11 7 -
N. Powell 22 2-8 1-5 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 6 0 -
P. Pierson 22 7-9 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 16 12 -
E. Carson 17 2-4 0-1 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
K. Vaughn 16 3-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 6 1 -
D. Walker 14 1-2 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 0 4 5 3 -
K. Miller 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Montgomery 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 0 2 -
K. Cain 5 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Charles 31 11-15 0-0 3-4 11 1 1 0 3 25 20 -
K. Lawson 31 2-6 2-4 3-3 2 4 0 0 1 9 8 -
A. Jones 28 8-16 1-1 3-4 8 1 0 0 2 20 11 -
D. McCray 26 2-8 1-2 4-4 3 2 1 0 1 9 6 -
A. Hightower 25 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 0 1 -
R. Montgomery 22 4-12 0-4 7-7 1 6 0 0 1 15 9 -
M. Bass 16 2-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
K. Greene 15 2-3 0-0 3-3 2 0 2 0 0 7 8 -
K. Griffin 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
C. Shegog 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter