Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.9% | 98.1% | +21.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +22 (105-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 36 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| C. Dupree | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 31 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9 | - |
| C. Houston | 30 | 9-22 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 8 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 22 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| N. Sanford | 17 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Z. Tamane | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| R. Brunson | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| M. Moore | 26 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| S. Augustus | 24 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| M. Wright | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 14 | - |
| L. Whalen | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 22 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Adair | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Peters | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| E. Thorn | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter