Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.2% | 87.8% | +21.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +22 (105-83). Ratings: 2012 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner * | 35 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Samantha Prahalis * | 30 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Charde Houston * | 29 | 9-22 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 8 | - |
| Nakia Sanford * | 16 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Alexis Gray-Lawson | 22 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Avery Warley-Talbert | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Zane Tamane | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 26 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 23 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 22 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Monica Wright | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Jessica Adair | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter