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2012-05-19

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 59.1% 40.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.9% 60.1% - โœ—
Margin 41.3% 58.7% +1.9 โœ— (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 55.1% 44.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 55.2% 44.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.1% 53.9% - โœ—

Actual: New York Liberty -5 (73-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tina Charles * 30 9-19 0-0 1-2 13 0 1 0 19 - -
Asjha Jones * 30 6-18 0-0 0-0 8 3 2 2 12 - -
Kara Lawson * 27 1-5 1-3 0-0 7 6 0 0 3 - -
Kalana Greene * 20 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 6 - -
Danielle McCray * 15 2-6 0-3 6-7 6 3 1 0 10 - -
Renee Montgomery 25 3-8 2-3 3-5 0 3 1 0 11 - -
Allison Hightower 25 5-7 2-3 1-1 0 1 1 0 13 - -
Mistie Bass 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Kelsey Griffin 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cappie Pondexter * 31 7-16 0-4 5-6 5 2 1 0 19 - -
Plenette Pierson * 26 4-10 1-1 6-6 10 0 0 3 15 - -
Nicole Powell * 24 2-8 0-3 0-1 2 2 1 0 4 - -
Kara Braxton * 21 6-12 0-0 1-4 9 1 0 0 13 - -
Leilani Mitchell * 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 - -
Essence Carson 23 4-10 1-3 0-2 5 2 0 0 9 - -
Kelly Miller 19 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Kia Vaughn 17 3-5 0-0 3-5 8 0 0 0 9 - -
DeMya Walker 14 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 4 - -

* = starter