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2012-05-18

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 52.5% 47.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 63.5% 36.5% - โœ“
Margin 57.0% 43.0% -1.5 โœ“ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 55.1% 44.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 69.4% 30.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 69.5% 30.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.8% 46.2% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm -6 (66-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Beard 35 2-7 0-1 5-7 1 1 2 1 4 9 3 -
Kristi Toliver 34 9-16 5-8 2-4 2 6 3 0 2 25 18 -
Candace Parker 25 5-12 0-1 1-1 4 1 1 1 4 11 2 -
M. Coleman 24 1-5 0-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 4 2 -
D. Milton-Jones 24 1-7 0-3 2-2 7 2 5 0 2 4 9 -
Jantel Lavender 22 4-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
E. Hoffman 18 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 2 5 -
Nneka Ogwumike 18 3-6 0-1 3-4 3 0 3 1 1 9 9 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Little 37 1-3 0-0 4-5 6 1 2 0 1 6 11 -
S. Bird 34 6-14 3-7 0-0 6 6 1 0 3 15 11 -
A. Wauters 31 8-12 0-0 1-2 7 2 0 1 5 17 10 -
T. Thompson 28 4-12 4-8 0-0 8 1 1 2 4 12 8 -
T. Wright 28 3-10 1-3 2-2 5 3 1 0 5 9 3 -
K. Smith 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 4 0 0 2 0 0 -
S. Stricklen 15 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
V. Dunlap 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
E. Kobryn 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter