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2012-05-14

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 42.4% 57.6% - โœ—
Margin 53.3% 46.7% -0.7 โœ“ (31.3 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 65.0% 35.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 65.2% 34.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 51.9% 48.1% - โœ“

Actual: New York Liberty -32 (57-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Murphy * 27 4-13 1-6 2-2 8 3 2 1 1 11 11 -
R. Riley * 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
Epiphanny Prince * 17 5-10 3-4 2-2 9 1 2 0 2 15 15 -
L. Willingham * 15 4-7 2-3 1-1 2 3 1 0 0 11 10 -
Courtney Vandersloot * 15 2-7 1-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 5 3 -
F. Chester 25 2-5 0-0 0-1 4 3 1 0 0 4 7 -
C. Swords 21 5-6 0-0 4-5 10 2 2 3 3 14 22 -
S. Carter 20 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 2 -3 -
Shey Peddy 17 6-11 2-4 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 14 9 -
T. Penicheiro 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 4 4 -
T. Young 10 2-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 5 4 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter * 27 5-11 2-3 1-1 1 3 0 0 2 13 4 -
Kia Vaughn * 22 3-5 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
Leilani Mitchell * 22 3-9 0-2 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 6 6 -
N. Powell * 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Walker * 18 3-6 0-0 0-3 0 0 0 1 5 6 -4 -
P. Pierson 25 5-14 0-0 4-6 4 0 0 1 3 14 2 -
E. Carson 23 2-6 0-2 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 4 6 -
K. Miller 18 1-5 0-0 2-2 2 3 1 0 3 4 2 -
K. Cain 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
R. Masciadri 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
L. Broomfield 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Montgomery 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter