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Fairfield Stags 60
@
Marist Red Foxes 49
2012-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Fairfield Stags Marist Red Foxes Spread Result
Elo 68.7% 31.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 64.7% 35.3% - ✓
Margin 78.8% 21.2% -7.2 ✓ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 64.5% 35.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 88.1% 11.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 88.2% 11.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 65.3% 34.7% - ✓

Actual: Marist Red Foxes -11 (49-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fairfield Stags

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derek Needham * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 0 3 16 20 -
Rakim Sanders * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 0 3 12 21 -
Ryan Olander * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 4 3 2 13 22 -
Maurice Barrow * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 2 6 12 -
Colin Nickerson * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 7 13 -
Jamel Fields 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Sean Crawford 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 4 0 1 4 12 -
Keith Matthews 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Marist Red Foxes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chavaughn Lewis * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 2 1 4 19 27 -
Adam Kemp * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 3 4 10 -
Devin Price * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 8 10 -
Jay Bowie * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 3 11 18 -
Isaiah Morton * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 5 7 -
Manny Thomas 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 0 2 -
R.J. Hall 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
T.J. Curry 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
P. Prinsloo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter