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2012-05-11

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm Tulsa Shock Spread Result
Elo 63.0% 37.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 63.0% 37.0% - โœ—
Margin 62.4% 37.6% -2.8 โœ— (28.8 off)
Pythagorean 61.1% 38.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 70.2% 29.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 70.2% 29.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 56.5% 43.5% - โœ—

Actual: Tulsa Shock +26 (86-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Allie Quigley * 33 3-7 1-1 1-2 3 2 1 1 7 8 1 -
V. Dunlap * 31 5-9 0-1 3-4 5 2 2 0 4 13 9 -
C. Little * 23 3-7 0-0 2-2 4 0 2 1 3 8 5 -
K. Smith * 20 3-4 2-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 8 8 -
T. Thompson * 19 3-5 3-3 0-0 6 0 1 0 4 9 7 -
Alysha Clark 27 0-4 0-1 2-2 3 2 2 1 6 2 0 -
A. Corral 22 3-8 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 6 -2 -
L. Taylor 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 4 4 5 -
A. Gayle 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -2 -

Tulsa Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Johnson * 22 2-8 1-4 3-4 2 5 2 0 2 8 7 -
C. Black * 15 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 1 1 5 8 -
R. Williams * 15 5-9 0-3 0-0 4 0 2 1 1 10 7 -
A. Holt * 14 2-5 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 -1 -
K. Pedersen * 12 1-5 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 2 1 4 4 -
J. Morris 24 3-9 1-3 2-2 4 1 3 0 3 9 5 -
G. Johnson 22 4-7 0-1 2-3 3 3 5 1 2 10 13 -
L. Kizer 20 2-5 0-0 3-3 5 0 0 0 5 7 2 -
I. Latta 19 3-5 1-2 2-2 0 1 1 0 1 9 5 -
K. Christmas-Kelly 13 2-4 1-2 1-1 0 0 1 0 1 6 2 -
J. Lacy 10 3-4 1-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 9 9 -
S. Zolman 10 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -
L. Dixon 3 0-0 0-0 2-4 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter