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2012-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 45.9% 54.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 55.6% 44.4% - โœ“
Margin 49.6% 50.4% +0.1 โœ— (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 94.3% 5.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 76.8% 23.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 76.6% 23.4% - โœ“

Actual: Texas Longhorns -5 (72-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quincy Acy * 39 7-10 0-0 8-11 16 0 0 2 1 22 29 -
Pierre Jackson * 33 5-14 3-6 12-12 3 6 1 0 4 25 17 -
Perry Jones * 30 3-14 0-0 4-6 3 3 0 0 2 10 0 -
Quincy Miller * 22 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 0 -2 -
Brady Heslip * 21 4-5 4-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 12 7 -
A.J. Walton 28 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 5 1 0 1 2 9 -
Gary Franklin 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
Anthony Jones 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Deuce Bello 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Cory Jefferson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J'Covan Brown * 40 6-14 6-9 0-1 3 4 0 0 3 18 8 -
Myck Kabongo * 27 2-6 0-2 8-8 2 5 1 0 2 12 12 -
Julien Lewis * 26 3-7 1-2 2-2 2 4 0 0 2 9 6 -
Alexis Wangmene * 22 3-5 0-0 1-3 7 0 2 1 0 7 12 -
Clint Chapman * 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 6 3 -
Jonathan Holmes 26 3-7 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
S. Mac 24 5-9 0-1 3-6 5 0 1 0 0 13 10 -
Jaylen Bond 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Sterling Gibbs 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter