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2012-05-10

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 48.2% 51.8% -
Bradley-Terry 53.5% 46.5% -
Margin 57.8% 42.2% -1.7 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun -2 (85-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Augustus 20 4-7 2-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 12 6 -
R. Brunson 20 5-8 0-0 1-2 6 2 1 1 1 11 12 -
M. Moore 19 3-7 0-1 0-0 0 4 0 1 1 6 3 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 8 9 -
J. Adair 17 2-5 0-0 3-3 3 1 0 0 3 7 3 -
J. Wojta 15 3-6 1-3 0-4 7 1 1 0 2 7 8 -
L. Whalen 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 0 5 0 0 3 4 1 -
D. Peters 14 3-5 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 3 1 9 13 -
E. Thorn 14 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 3 -2 -
C. Wiggins 14 3-5 2-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 8 3 -
M. Wright 12 1-3 1-1 4-4 2 1 0 0 1 7 6 -
A. Harris 9 1-3 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
Q. Casas 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Rayburn 7 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Montgomery 22 3-9 0-3 2-3 2 6 0 0 1 8 6 -
K. Griffin 22 1-6 0-0 2-2 9 0 4 0 3 4 8 -
K. Lawson 22 6-9 3-4 4-5 0 2 0 0 3 19 9 -
S. Spencer 20 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 6 6 -
M. Bass 20 6-8 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 0 2 12 13 -
A. Jones 19 4-6 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 8 4 -
D. McCray 18 2-7 2-4 3-3 3 1 1 0 1 9 6 -
C. Shegog 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 4 1 -
K. Greene 16 2-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 6 7 -
A. Hightower 16 3-9 3-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 9 3 -
D. Evans 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -3 -

* = starter