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2012-05-09

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% +5.3 โœ“ (6.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 41.0% 59.0% - โœ“
Margin 36.8% 63.2% +3.0 โœ“ (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.2% 56.8% - โœ“

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +12 (92-80). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Blake Griffin * 39 6-11 0-0 3-6 11 0 3 0 2 15 16 -
Chris Paul * 39 5-11 1-4 8-10 6 4 4 1 3 19 20 -
Caron Butler * 31 2-10 1-5 3-4 4 2 0 0 2 8 2 -
Randy Foye * 22 3-8 2-5 3-3 2 2 0 0 3 11 4 -
DeAndre Jordan * 18 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 2 0 2 0 1 5 -
Mo Williams 33 8-21 3-9 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 20 -1 -
Reggie Evans 27 1-2 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 0 1 4 10 -
Nick Young 12 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -3 -
Kenyon Martin 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Eric Bledsoe 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gay * 41 6-14 0-2 2-2 5 0 1 0 2 14 4 -
Marc Gasol * 38 8-14 0-0 7-8 7 4 0 1 1 23 20 -
Mike Conley * 37 4-10 0-2 1-1 2 6 0 0 2 9 5 -
Zach Randolph * 36 6-11 0-0 7-10 10 1 0 0 3 19 16 -
Tony Allen * 23 2-5 0-0 3-3 5 1 2 3 1 7 12 -
Quincy Pondexter 25 3-4 0-0 2-2 7 0 2 0 1 8 12 -
O.J. Mayo 13 1-6 0-1 4-6 2 2 1 0 2 6 3 -
Dante Cunningham 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Marreese Speights 8 2-6 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 6 3 -
Gilbert Arenas 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Hamed Haddadi 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter