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2012-05-07

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% -
Bradley-Terry 19.8% 80.2% -
Margin 11.8% 88.2% +11.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 26.0% 74.0% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun +15 (96-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Braxton 27 8-16 0-2 2-4 11 2 1 1 2 18 15 -
L. Mitchell 24 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 5 1 0 1 3 4 -
L. Broomfield 23 4-6 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 1 2 8 11 -
D. Walker 20 4-7 0-0 2-2 0 4 2 0 3 10 6 -
C. Pondexter 19 6-11 2-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 3 16 5 -
K. Miller 18 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 3 -2 -
A. Montgomery 17 0-4 0-1 3-4 4 1 1 0 3 3 2 -
K. Redmon 16 5-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 10 6 -
N. Powell 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 2 5 -
I. Hemingway 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 1 1 -
S. Colson 10 3-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 7 0 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McCray 25 4-9 0-1 2-2 6 0 3 0 5 10 5 -
R. Montgomery 24 3-10 0-3 5-6 0 3 2 0 2 11 4 -
K. Griffin 19 3-9 0-1 3-4 2 1 3 0 0 9 6 -
K. Lawson 19 2-7 2-7 4-4 2 7 1 0 0 10 13 -
C. Shegog 18 2-3 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 1 5 6 -
K. Greene 18 4-6 0-1 4-4 1 0 3 0 1 12 9 -
S. Spencer 16 5-8 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 10 7 -
M. Bass 15 2-4 0-0 1-3 5 0 1 1 0 5 8 -
A. Jones 12 6-9 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 12 6 -
D. Evans 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 1 0 5 -
T. White 11 2-6 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 6 0 -
J. Breland 10 2-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 2 0 0 6 6 -

* = starter