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2012-05-07

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 48.2% 51.8% +1.1 โœ“ (2.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 44.7% 55.3% - โœ“
Margin 37.0% 63.0% +2.9 โœ“ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 46.6% 53.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 46.6% 53.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% - โœ“

Actual: LA Clippers +4 (101-97). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gay * 47 8-25 1-6 6-7 7 4 0 0 3 23 6 -
Mike Conley * 46 10-15 2-2 3-3 7 8 1 0 4 25 22 -
Marc Gasol * 35 1-4 0-0 6-10 5 2 0 3 2 8 12 -
Zach Randolph * 34 5-11 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 0 2 12 9 -
Tony Allen * 24 3-7 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 2 -
O.J. Mayo 25 1-6 1-4 2-2 2 2 1 0 3 5 1 -
Dante Cunningham 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Marreese Speights 11 4-7 0-0 1-1 6 0 0 0 0 9 8 -
Hamed Haddadi 11 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 0 3 8 -
Quincy Pondexter 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Gilbert Arenas 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Paul * 42 10-22 1-3 6-6 9 7 0 0 2 27 19 -
Blake Griffin * 37 10-15 0-0 10-17 5 7 1 0 2 30 26 -
Randy Foye * 30 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
Caron Butler * 26 5-10 1-2 3-4 1 0 1 0 1 14 5 -
DeAndre Jordan * 21 3-5 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 3 1 6 8 -
Mo Williams 29 3-10 1-4 2-2 3 4 1 0 1 9 6 -
Reggie Evans 24 0-1 0-0 2-4 8 0 2 0 0 2 11 -
Kenyon Martin 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 3 0 2 2 -
Nick Young 18 1-4 1-3 2-2 0 0 0 1 0 5 2 -
Eric Bledsoe 12 0-0 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 1 0 3 8 -

* = starter