Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.7% | 29.3% | -2.9 | ✗ (4.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.5% | 40.5% | -2.1 | ✗ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Knicks +2 (89-87). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 41 | 9-21 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 10 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 39 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 9-18 | 0-3 | 4-11 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 37 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Mike Miller | 24 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Shane Battier | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| James Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 40 | 15-29 | 1-4 | 10-14 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 41 | 22 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 33 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Landry Fields * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| JR Smith | 35 | 3-15 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Mike Bibby | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Steve Novak | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Josh Harrellson | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jared Jeffries | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter