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2012-05-05

Model Predictions

Model Tulsa Shock Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 23.3% 76.7% -
Bradley-Terry 20.0% 80.0% -
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.6 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 27.7% 72.3% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream +2 (91-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tulsa Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Baugh 24 6-7 0-1 0-2 2 0 1 2 1 12 9 -
I. Latta 23 6-12 1-6 5-5 4 4 0 0 2 18 12 -
R. Williams 22 8-14 1-5 0-2 4 2 2 0 3 17 8 -
G. Johnson 20 4-8 0-1 3-4 5 2 1 0 1 11 10 -
S. Zolman 16 4-11 2-7 1-2 0 0 1 0 2 11 -1 -
A. Holt 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
J. Lacy 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 0 2 -
K. Christmas-Kelly 14 4-5 3-3 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 12 11 -
K. Pedersen 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
S. Dorrell 10 0-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -4 -
L. Kizer 10 0-2 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
L. Dixon 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Morris 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 1 0 6 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harding 21 4-10 2-4 1-2 3 6 1 1 2 11 10 -
L. Koehn 20 7-9 7-9 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 21 12 -
A. Herrington 20 3-7 0-1 2-2 7 5 0 0 1 8 12 -
C. Paris 19 5-7 0-0 1-1 7 1 0 1 0 11 13 -
K. Swanier 19 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 6 0 0 4 5 4 -
C. Kraayeveld 17 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 3 0 -
A. Henry-Morello 17 3-10 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 0 0 7 7 -
A. Sutherland 15 3-12 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 8 1 -
C. Miller 14 2-7 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 5 1 -
C. Regins 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
B. Johnson 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Ciappina 10 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 8 6 -
T. Hayes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter