Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Nittany Lions | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.4% | 94.6% | +18.6 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.4% | 96.6% | +18.3 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +10 (65-55). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Frazier * | 40 | 9-20 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Jonathan Graham * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Nick Colella * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Cammeron Woodyard * | 26 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Ross Travis * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jermaine Marshall | 31 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Matt Glover | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Sasa Borovnjak | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traevon Jackson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Gasser * | 36 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Mike Bruesewitz * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Taylor * | 31 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Evans * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jared Berggren * | 29 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Ben Brust | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Robert Wilson | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Frank Kaminsky | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter