Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +3 (86-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Dillard * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 29 | - |
| Paul Williams * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Luke Fabrizius * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Devin Oliver | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Josh Parker | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tu Holloway * | 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 41 | - |
| Andre Walker * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Dez Wells * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Mark Lyons * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Travis Taylor * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Jeff Robinson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kenny Frease | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Brad Redford | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dee Davis | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Justin Martin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter