Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Weber State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.4% | 52.6% | +0.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Weber State Wildcats +2 (72-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Reed * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Kevin Butler * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Bo Ingram * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 26 | - |
| Jordan Reves * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 31 | - |
| Shaquille White-Miller * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Cameron Catlett | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Edwards | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Bradley Gay | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Stuart Lagerson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Karol Gruszecki | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Bamforth * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 29 | - |
| Kyle Bullinger * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Tresnak * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Darin Mahoney * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - |
| Byron Fulton | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Gelaun Wheelwright | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jordan Richardson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter