Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.5% | 41.5% | -1.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -12 (62-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Williams * | 41 | 4-14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| C. Guy * | 39 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Michael Javes * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Will Neighbour * | 26 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Courtney Jackson * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tramar Sutherland | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Ben Dillard | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Reggie Fondren | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Eric Lawton | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Taggart Lockhart | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Marlon Louzeiro | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Jones * | 40 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Will Weathers * | 39 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Justin Wright * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Tim Owens * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Steven Cunningham * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Alan Jones | 33 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | - |
| Ray Chambers | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| R.J. Scott | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter