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2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 88.5% 11.5% -
Bradley-Terry 99.1% 0.9% -
Margin 87.5% 12.5% -10.7 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 59.2% 40.8% -
Efficiency 77.8% 22.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 92.3% 7.7% -
Log Adjusted 92.4% 7.6% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons +1 (66-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Bell Jr. * 39 5-7 3-4 3-4 3 3 1 0 3 16 13 -
E. Harris * 34 8-14 3-5 2-2 11 0 0 0 1 21 17 -
R. Sacre * 34 4-7 0-0 3-4 8 1 0 4 6 11 11 -
K. Pangos * 30 2-7 0-5 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 6 1 -
G. Edi * 23 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 4 1 -
D. Stockton 14 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 3 1 -
S. Dower 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
M. Hart 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
M. Carter 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Doolin * 38 3-11 0-4 2-3 2 6 5 0 1 8 9 -
A. Caloiaro * 37 3-7 2-3 2-3 0 0 0 0 3 10 0 -
M. Williams * 35 5-8 2-5 1-1 2 0 1 0 0 13 8 -
R. Green * 29 7-10 0-1 2-3 5 1 5 1 3 16 15 -
P. Blackwell * 27 6-11 0-0 2-2 10 0 1 0 2 14 12 -
C. Dickerson 21 2-4 0-0 1-5 2 0 0 2 0 5 5 -
G. Hoffmann 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
A. Johnson 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter