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2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Campbell Fighting Camels Northwestern State Demons Spread Result
Elo 24.2% 75.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% - โœ“
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 โœ“ (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.3% 50.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.6% 57.4% - โœ“

Actual: Northwestern State Demons +14 (100-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Campbell Fighting Camels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lorne Merthie * 35 4-14 4-12 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 14 5 -
Eric Griffin * 35 2-5 0-0 11-21 15 2 0 3 5 15 25 -
Trey Freeman * 27 1-12 1-3 3-4 1 1 2 0 5 6 -7 -
Marvelle Harris * 25 2-3 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 2 2 6 11 -
Darren White * 16 5-10 0-2 5-7 7 3 1 0 2 15 14 -
Andrew Ryan 33 6-14 1-3 2-2 5 2 2 0 2 15 8 -
Rico Ferguson 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 6 7 -
Amir Celestin 5 2-2 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
Anthony Horton 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Antonio Kalpic 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Player #56879 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
William Mosley * 29 7-10 0-0 5-20 12 1 2 4 1 19 27 -
Shamir Davis * 29 5-9 2-3 13-14 5 4 0 0 2 25 23 -
Marvin Frazier * 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 1 1 2 6 -
Gary Roberson * 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
Louis Ellis * 17 4-9 3-7 4-4 0 2 0 0 1 15 7 -
Patrick Robinson 21 1-3 0-0 6-7 4 4 1 0 0 8 14 -
Gary Stewart 20 4-6 2-4 3-6 2 0 2 0 2 13 9 -
James Hulbin 18 0-4 0-3 2-2 7 1 0 0 2 2 4 -
O.J. Evans 16 4-8 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 8 0 -
John Brisco 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter