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UC Davis Aggies 70
@
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 65
2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 87.4% 12.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 64.0% 36.0% - ✓
Margin 60.8% 39.2% -2.4 ✓ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 40.2% 59.8% - ✗

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -5 (65-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #46690 * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 1 10 17 -
Tyler Les * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 12 14 -
Josh Ritchart * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 1 2 5 8 -
Eddie Miller * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 6 12 -
J.T. Adenrele * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 7 9 -
Harrison DuPont 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 1 3 19 25 -
Adam Malik 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 9 -
Tyrell Corbin 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 5 9 -
Alex Tiffin 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Douglas * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 10 14 -
Stallon Saldivar * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 0 0 3 5 11 -
Durrell Norman * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 26 34 -
Gaellen Bewernick * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 1 0 1 14 27 -
Luis Flores * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Michael Dunn 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 1 0 3 12 -
Ephraim Ekanem 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 9 -
Colin Gruber 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter