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2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Central Eagles North Carolina A&T Aggies Spread Result
Elo 71.4% 28.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 65.6% 34.4% - โœ“
Margin 73.5% 26.5% -5.6 โœ“ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 70.5% 29.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 85.1% 14.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 85.3% 14.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 62.5% 37.5% - โœ“

Actual: North Carolina A&T Aggies -5 (66-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Central Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dominique Sutton * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 6 3 1 0 24 45 -
Ray Willis * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 3 1 0 4 15 27 -
Nick Chasten * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 2 9 18 -
Emanuel Chapman * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 5 6 -
Justin Leemow * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
Jeremy Ingram 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 3 12 15 -
Karamo Jawara 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Ebuka Anyaorah 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
Tracy O'Neal 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
David Best 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

North Carolina A&T Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Witter * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 0 1 8 17 -
Adrian Powell * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 5 1 2 16 29 -
Marc Hill * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 13 17 -
DaMetrius Upchurch * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 11 16 -
Jean Louisme * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
Nic Simpson 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 8 7 -
Jeremy Underwood 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
Lawrence Smith 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
R.J. Buck 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
Jared Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter