Model Predictions
| Model | Oakland Golden Grizzlies | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +4 (79-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oakland Golden Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hamilton * | 40 | 10-23 | 6-14 | 8-10 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 22 | - |
| D. Valentine * | 36 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| R. Bass * | 34 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| K. Sikora * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Williams * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Player #46646 | 37 | 5-14 | 3-11 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 4 | - |
| C. Petros | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Asbury | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Lucas-Perry | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Poches | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Carmichael * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 33 | - |
| Tyler Brown * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Cousin * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Nic Moore * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| John Wilkins * | 19 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jon Ekey | 33 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Bryant Allen | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Darious Clark | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Threloff | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trey Blue | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter