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2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers Canisius Golden Griffins Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 32.3% 67.7% - โœ“
Margin 18.5% 81.5% +8.2 โœ“ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 23.6% 76.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“

Actual: Canisius Golden Griffins +7 (73-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chase Plummer * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 2 1 0 3 24 38 -
Player #56945 * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 2 6 13 -
Ryan Cook * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 3 13 16 -
Jake Wasco * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 7 14 -
Brian Neller * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 14 15 -
Player #56944 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
Will Wise 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Jamar Wertz 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Chandler Thomas 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Canisius Golden Griffins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hymes * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 3 23 29 -
C. Manhertz * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 0 0 11 23 -
H. Washington * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 1 1 16 23 -
G. Belardo * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 0 2 7 15 -
M. Dhal * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Heath 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 2 8 14 -
R. Groves 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 5 7 -
F. Milian 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 3 8 -
K. Bleeker 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Funk 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
D. Santiago 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter