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2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% -
Bradley-Terry 22.7% 77.3% -
Margin 17.7% 82.3% +8.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% -
Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.1% 76.9% -
Log Adjusted 22.9% 77.1% -

Actual: Butler Bulldogs +21 (75-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lathan * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 10 14 -
J. Odum * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 1 3 0 7 -
R. Mahurin * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 22 24 -
J. Printy * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 8 13 -
M. Walker * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 7 12 -
L. Eitel 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
S. McWhorter 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 0 0 -
J. Kitchell 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 1 2 5 7 -
J. Gant 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 0 4 -

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Jones * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 2 1 0 1 11 25 -
R. Nored * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 10 0 0 4 5 13 -
A. Smith * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 2 12 17 -
C. Hopkins * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 11 11 -
E. Fromm * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 11 14 -
C. Stigall 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 9 12 -
K. Woods 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 2 1 2 13 -
J. Aldridge 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 2 3 -
K. Marshall 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 10 10 -
G. Butcher 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Kampen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
E. Kampen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Barlow 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Smeathers 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter