Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | +0.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +3 (71-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Eargle * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 28 | - |
| Blake Allen * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Ashen Ward * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Kendrick Perry * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 27 | - |
| DuShawn Brooks * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Shawn Amiker | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Fletcher Larson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DJ Cole | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mike Podolsky | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Josh Chojnacki | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Baker * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 17 | - |
| J. Fraley * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | - |
| J. Terry * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| H. Lawrence * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Williams * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Edmondson | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 31 | - |
| J. Clyburn | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| W. Triggs | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Freeman | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Greer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Blake | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter