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2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Army Black Knights Spread Result
Elo 70.5% 29.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 73.9% 26.1% - โœ“
Margin 72.2% 27.8% -5.3 โœ“ (18.7 off)
Pythagorean 61.1% 38.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 83.4% 16.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 83.5% 16.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 61.2% 38.8% - โœ“

Actual: Army Black Knights -24 (50-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Troy Brewer * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 10 18 -
Charles Hinkle * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 2 18 26 -
Daniel Munoz * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 10 2 0 2 8 19 -
Tony Wroblicky * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 3 10 14 -
John Schoof * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Blake Jolivette 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 7 11 -
Riley Grafft 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 8 11 -
Simon McCormack 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 4 4 -
Mike Bersch 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 7 9 -
Joe Hill 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Wayne Simon 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Kyle Kager 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Daniel Fisher 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jordan Borucki 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Army Black Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Ellis * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 16 20 -
J. Simmons * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 4 6 -
J. Herbeck * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 5 7 -
J. Springer * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 9 14 -
M. Washington * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
M. Lenox 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 8 14 -
M. Williams 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
A. Stire 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 7 -
Player #57529 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
J. Johnson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Player #52961 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Player #57527 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Player #57528 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Hornstein 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Billerman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter