Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ardarius Simmons * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 32 | - |
| Matt Samuels * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Clarke Rosenberg * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Aaron Williams * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Lee Fisher | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Jeremy Robinson | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 27 | - |
| D'Jari Nelson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Quincy Ukaigwe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Provost * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Jared Maree * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Nick Weiermiller * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Kieondre Arkwright * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Enrique Mason * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Delgado | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Josh Cleveland | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Aaron Urbanus | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Earl Jefferson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ruben Cabrera | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
* = starter