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2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Niagara Purple Eagles Vermont Catamounts Spread Result
Elo 12.5% 87.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.0% 76.0% - โœ“
Margin 11.9% 88.1% +11.0 โœ“ (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 28.8% 71.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.3% 86.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.2% 86.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.4% 72.6% - โœ“

Actual: Vermont Catamounts +22 (92-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Niagara Purple Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Green * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 12 17 -
A. Mason * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 20 18 -
A. Tanksley * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 7 15 -
M. Lemmons * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 17 21 -
S. Gillette * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Jordan 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 5 0 0 2 12 -
A. Langford 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 6 9 -
J. Thomas 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 3 5 -
P. Kowalski 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
E. Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Voelkel * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 4 0 2 5 18 -
Brendan Bald * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 11 9 -
Matt Glass * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 19 24 -
Sandro Carissimo * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 4 11 -
Luke Apfeld * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 14 20 -
Four McGlynn 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 20 22 -
Clancy Rugg 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 1 0 15 28 -
Josh Elbaum 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 0 3 -
Pat Bergmann 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 4 8 -
Ben Crenca 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Ryan McKeaney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Chris Santo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter