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2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs Chattanooga Mocs Spread Result
Elo 42.2% 57.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 36.4% 63.6% - โœ—
Margin 15.0% 85.0% +9.5 โœ— (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 26.6% 73.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 15.7% 84.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 15.6% 84.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 30.5% 69.5% - โœ—

Actual: Chattanooga Mocs -2 (46-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Groselle * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 15 2 0 2 4 8 23 -
DeVontae Wright * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 1 1 4 6 14 -
Marshall Harris * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 8 10 -
Bo Holston * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 8 -
Player #56888 * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 2 7 -
C.J. Bray 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 4 6 -
Lawrence Miller 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 15 17 -
Ashton Moore 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 -
P.J. Horgan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Bell * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 2 0 4 5 10 -
D. Zlovaric * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 11 16 -
J. Burroughs * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 2 0 7 20 -
R. Taylor * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 4 9 -
O. Wattad * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 1 3 -
D. Hampton 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 12 14 -
R. White 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Bryant 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
L. Stokes 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter