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2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Bowling Green Falcons Spread Result
Elo 38.4% 61.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% - โœ“
Margin 17.4% 82.6% +8.6 โœ“ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 20.9% 79.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.8% 67.2% - โœ“

Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +13 (73-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ty Proffitt * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 18 19 -
Angelo Warner * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 6 11 -
Lamont Austin * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 1 2 6 11 -
Deandre Mathieu * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 4 -
Drew Kelly * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 4 12 15 -
Marsell Holden 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 5 8 -
Milton Chavis 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 6 13 -
Devon Atkinson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
Jordan Percell 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Player #57239 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dee Brown * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 19 22 -
Scott Thomas * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 3 0 3 28 36 -
Jordon Crawford * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 12 3 0 3 9 22 -
Cameron Black * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 3 1 2 11 -
A'uston Calhoun 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 5 7 -
Torian Oglesby 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 6 9 -
Craig Sealey 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
Anthony Henderson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jehvon Clarke 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
Chauncey Orr 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
James Erger 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Player #60707 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter