Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✓ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +20 (65-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Marshall * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 8-13 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 19 | - |
| O. Bellfield * | 30 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Moser * | 30 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| B. Massamba * | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. Stanback * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Lopez-Sosa | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Smith | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Wallace | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gordon * | 36 | 13-20 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 29 | - |
| T. Snell * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| K. Williams * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| H. Greenwood * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Walker | 16 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Bairstow | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Fenton | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| P. McDonald | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Adams | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Dunning | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter