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2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs New Mexico State Aggies Spread Result
Elo 26.5% 73.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% - โœ“
Margin 17.0% 83.0% +8.7 โœ“ (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 34.1% 65.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.7% 80.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.8% 80.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.2% 69.8% - โœ“

Actual: New Mexico State Aggies +16 (71-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Hawley * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 2 14 20 -
Jordan Clarke * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 0 7 17 -
Karl Madison * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 8 11 -
Jeremy Jeffers * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
Rayvonte Rice * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 18 19 -
Judd Welfringer 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 0 6 -
Kurt Alexander 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 4 2 -
David Smith 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 1 3 -
Kraidon Woods 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

New Mexico State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrone Watson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 7 1 0 1 2 13 -
Wendell McKines * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 2 1 0 1 25 39 -
Daniel Mullings * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 5 0 4 10 16 -
Hernst Laroche * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 17 19 -
Hamidu Rahman * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 5 2 9 19 -
Bandja Sy 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 8 10 -
Tshilidzi Nephawe 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 3 0 7 -
Remi Barry 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D.J. Lewis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter