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Brown Bears 53
@
Dartmouth Big Green 58
2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 48.7% 51.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 51.2% 48.8% - ✗
Margin 46.8% 53.2% +0.7 ✓ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 18.7% 81.3% - ✓
Efficiency 12.5% 87.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 13.3% 86.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 13.3% 86.7% - ✓

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green +5 (58-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Ponticelli * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 3 0 3 4 11 -
S. McGonagill * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 2 0 4 14 21 -
M. Sullivan * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 14 20 -
S. Albrecht * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 4 11 10 -
D. Walker * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 8 -
A. McCarthy 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 6 10 -
J. Harris 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Lundevall 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Maldunas * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 3 4 4 8 22 -
J. Golden * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 10 12 -
J. Brooks * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 4 0 0 6 6 15 -
D. Rufful * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
T. Melville * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 15 18 -
R.J. Griffin 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 13 13 -
J. Trotter 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 3 0 0 2 6 -
K. Crecco 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. LaBove 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
M. McKearney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter