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2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 12.4% 87.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.3% 80.7% - โœ“
Margin 9.8% 90.2% +12.2 โœ“ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.4% 93.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.3% 93.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“

Actual: Harvard Crimson +15 (66-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Morgan * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 3 8 8 -
Greg Mangano * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 5 1 22 38 -
Reggie Willhite * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 7 12 -
Jeremiah Kreisberg * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 8 -
Jesse Pritchard * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
Michael Grace 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Brandon Sherrod 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 5 -
Sam Martin 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Matt Townsend 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Armani Cotton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Rhett Anderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Casey * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 8 13 -
L. Rivard * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 7 11 -
B. Curry * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 0 0 2 18 22 -
O. McNally * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 9 13 -
K. Wright * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 1 1 10 20 -
S. Moundou-Missi 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
C. Miller 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 9 -
C. Webster 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 1 3 -
J. Travis 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 5 -
W. Saunders 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter