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2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 73.2% 26.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.3% 54.7% -
Margin 41.1% 58.9% +2.0 (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 36.7% 63.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.9% 84.1% -
Log Adjusted 15.9% 84.1% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson +15 (66-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Morgan * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 3 8 8 -
G. Mangano * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 5 1 22 38 -
R. Willhite * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 7 12 -
J. Kreisberg * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 8 -
J. Pritchard * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
M. Grace 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
B. Sherrod 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 5 -
S. Martin 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Townsend 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Cotton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Anderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Casey * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 8 13 -
L. Rivard * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 7 11 -
B. Curry * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 0 0 2 18 22 -
O. McNally * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 9 13 -
K. Wright * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 1 1 10 20 -
S. Moundou-Missi 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
C. Miller 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 9 -
C. Webster 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 1 3 -
J. Travis 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 5 -
W. Saunders 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter